MASSIVE Switch In Key Senate Race As New Ballots Emerge

It’s not over yet.

A key U.S. Senate race has yet to be decided. And until recently, it seemed that the Republican candidate enjoyed a comfortable lead.

Until new ballots showed up, that is. Now, the Republican candidate is fighting for her political future.


From Politico:

Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema took a narrow 2,106-vote lead over GOP Rep. Martha McSally Thursday evening as Arizona’s election authorities counted more ballots in the state’s uncalled Senate race.

The lead amounts to just a tenth of a percentage point with over 1.8 million votes counted. McSally was up by 17,703 votes earlier in the day, before the counties processed another 130,000 votes — but about a half-million more votes remain to be counted across Arizona, according to both campaigns.

Most of the outstanding ballots are coming from Arizona’s largest county, Maricopa County, which is home to Phoenix and includes Sinema’s congressional district. Sinema held a slight edge of about 1 percentage point over McSally in the county as of Thursday afternoon, but the new votes counted Thursday expanded the Democrat’s Maricopa edge to 2.5 points. That’s the outcome Democrats had hoped for, while Republicans were expecting McSally’s tally there to improve.


The state will continue to count early votes cast before the election daily until the race is resolved.

“Arizonans must have faith that their votes are counted, and we are working diligently to ensure that count proceeds in a fair, transparent, and timely manner that voters can trust,” Andrew Piatt, Sinema’s campaign manager, said in a statement Thursday afternoon. He said he was confident Sinema would prevail once the remaining half a million votes are counted.

Arizona is one of three remaining Senate races without a declared winner. In Florida, Republican Gov. Rick Scott is ahead of Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson by two-tenths of a percentage point, but the race is headed for a recount. And in Mississippi, Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democrat Mike Espy will face off in a late November special-election runoff.

Republicans have already secured 51 Senate seats to 46 for Democrats, after three Democratic incumbents and one GOP senator lost on Tuesday night.

Hyde-Smith is expected to win the Mississippi runoff. But depending on the results in Arizona and Florida, the Republican majority in the next Senate could be as small as 52 seats or as big as 54. That spread could be significant on legislation and judicial confirmations over the next two years — as well as in the 2020 elections, when Republicans must defend 22 Senate seats compared to just 12 for Democrats.

In Arizona, Sinema led comfortably in polling throughout the summer and fall, but McSally closed the gap by late October. …

How will the race turn out?

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